The Federal reserve bank of Boston, in collaboration
with Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), have published a
research paper
that could serve as the foundation to create a government-backed
crypto currency. This collaboration, referred to as Project Hamilton,
focuses on technological experimentation that could lead to the creation
of central bank digital currency, or CBDC. The whitepaper does
highlight that this research is separate from the Federal Reserve's Board's
evaluation of the pros and cons of a CBDC.
"It is critical to understand how emerging technologies could support a CBDC and what challenges remain," said Boston Fed Executive Vice President and Interim Chief Operating Officer Jim Cunha. "This collaboration between MIT and our technologists has created a scalable CBDC research model that allows us to learn more about these technologies and the choices that should be considered when designing a CBDC."
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Why technological experimentations, when crypto currencies already
exist?
There are two main problems with existing crypto currencies (security is a
different topic):
- Power consumed to find the next unique hash
- Settlement time to reach consensus, before the block is added to the chain
Visa's CFO Vasant Prabhu recently told Barron's that, “True cryptos aren’t fast enough for purchase transactions,” he said. “The cost of doing a transaction using fiat currency on the Visa network is minuscule compared to the cost for Bitcoin and Ether.”
So how does Fed & MIT mitigate this lag?
The whitepaper points to a multi-phased project, released as
open-source license for anyone to inspect, modify, and enhance the code
at OpenCBDC. Phase-1 of the project is focused on developing software to process
digital transactions. The results are quite promising.
The resulting code from Phase-1 is capable of handling 1.7 million TPS. Researchers also highlighted that majority of the transactions settled in under two seconds.
To put this achievement in perspective, albeit theoretical, credit card payments in
2018 totaled $44.7
billion in the U.S. alone and credit cards can settle 5,000 TPS. 5K vs
1.7M TPS may be seem like a no brainer to expedite adoption; considerations have to be made on infrastructure, scale and security
controls that credit cards have in place.
That's what the second phase of the project will focus on i.e explore
more complex capabilities and issues, such as cybersecurity and how to
balance user privacy with the need for transparency to deter criminal
activity.
How will this impact existing Fiat currency and financial
institutions?
Just like with every new technology shift, there are risks and
opportunities.
“While central banks’ CBDC initiatives are not intended to disrupt the banking system, they will likely have unintended disruptive consequences,” Morgan Stanley’s Ahya said. “The more widely digital currencies are accepted, the more opportunity for innovation and the greater the scope for disruption to the financial system.”
Digital currencies may have major consequences for commercial banks,
especially if users prefer to hold their currency in digital wallets
provided by a firms like PayPal or Venmo. “This substitution effect
could reduce the aggregate amount of deposits in the banking system,” the
Fed report said.
On the other hand, digital currencies could be easier and less
expensive to access for people without bank accounts. Furthermore, if the digital currency is backed by the Fed's, then unlike
a bank or the companies issuing stable coins, they can't simply go out of
business. This also opens the doors to a global economy, utilizing common
digital assets.
For U.S in particular, there is also the ever looming threat from
China. With the
launch of a digital yuan, there are concerns that China could undermine the dollar’s status as
the world’s reserve currency. A Bank of America report notes that
issuing digital dollars would let the U.S. currency “remain highly
competitive … relative to other currencies.”
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